Weather Model Consensus

How NOAA GFS, NOAA GEFS, and ECMWF AIFS forecast models agree or disagree for Montgomery County, Maryland — short-range HRRR context plus a 7-day multi-model temperature and precipitation consensus.

What this page provides

How NOAA GFS, NOAA GEFS, and ECMWF AIFS forecast models agree or disagree for Montgomery County, Maryland — short-range HRRR context plus a 7-day multi-model temperature and precipitation consensus.

Information available

  • Compares NOAA GFS, NOAA GEFS ensemble, and ECMWF AIFS (deterministic and ensemble) forecasts for Montgomery County.
  • Short-range HRRR guidance shown as context alongside GFS and AIFS for the next ~18 hours.
  • 7-day daily consensus for high temperature and precipitation, with a documented agreement/disagreement method.
  • Per-model breakdown for every day — never a single blended number without its sources shown.
  • Context only — never a substitute for the official NWS forecast or active alerts.

Sources and freshness

  • Source details and update times are identified on the page and in the MoCo.Now Data Sources directory.

This is a build-time overview. Live observations, publication dates, and refresh times appear in the interactive page. Review the complete data source directory.